BetMGM Basketball: Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets Odds, Lines, Picks & Predictions – NBA, Mar. 10
● The Warriors (43-17) are -1.5 favorites vs. the Nuggets (34-25)
● Total (Over/Under): 226.5 points
● Thursday, March 10, 2022 at 10:00pm EST
● Watch the game on TNT
The Golden State Warriors visit Ball Arena to take on the Denver Nuggets on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in Denver.
The Warriors are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).
So far this NBA season, the Warriors are 32-30 against the spread, while the Nuggets are 31-35 against the spread.
The Warriors vs Nuggets Over/Under is 226.5 total points for the game.
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Warriors vs. Nuggets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
|
Spread |
Over / Under |
Moneyline |
|
|
Golden State Warriors |
-1.5 -110 |
O 226.5 -110 |
-125 |
|
Denver Nuggets |
+1.5 -110 |
U 226.5 -110 |
105 |
Golden State Warriors Against the Spread (ATS) Record, Historical Betting Trends:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone:
● 32-30 against the Spread (-1.05 Units / -1.45% ROI)
● 44-22 against the Moneyline (-6.8 Units / -2.77% ROI)
● 29-35 against the Over for game total points (-9.5 Units / -13.09% ROI)
● 35-29 against the Under for game total points (+3.1 Units / 4.27% ROI)
Positive Value Trends Against the Spread for the Warriors, Ranked by Units Won:
● The Golden State Warriors have covered the 2Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 20 away games (+8.50 Units / 38% ROI)
● The Golden State Warriors have covered the 4Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 16 away games (+7.59 Units / 43% ROI)
● The Golden State Warriors have covered the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 20 away games (+7.40 Units / 34% ROI)
● The Golden State Warriors have covered the 1Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 42 games (+7.34 Units / 16% ROI)
● The Golden State Warriors have covered the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.83 Units / 56% ROI)
Negative Value Trends Against the Spread for the Warriors, Ranked by Units Lost:
● The Golden State Warriors have only covered the Moneyline in 17 of their last 33 games (-23.25 Units / -19% ROI)
● The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 2H Moneyline in 12 of their last 30 games (-20.45 Units / -39% ROI)
● The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 32 away games (-16.64 Units / -34% ROI)
● The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1Q Spread in 9 of their last 32 away games (-16.23 Units / -46% ROI)
● The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 4Q Spread in 9 of their last 31 games (-13.12 Units / -38% ROI)
Denver Nuggets Against the Spread (ATS) Record, Historical Betting Trends:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone:
● 31-35 against the Spread (-7.5 Units / -10.33% ROI)
● 40-26 against the Moneyline (-6.4 Units / -4.15% ROI)
● 36-30 against the Over for game total points (+3 Units / 4.13% ROI)
● 30-36 against the Under for game total points (-9.6 Units / -13.22% ROI)
Positive Value Trends Against the Spread for the Nuggets, Ranked by Units Won:
● The Denver Nuggets have covered the 1H Game Total Over in 36 of their last 54 games (+18.51 Units / 31% ROI)
● The Denver Nuggets have covered the 2Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 50 games (+15.50 Units / 28% ROI)
● The Denver Nuggets have covered the 1Q Spread in 31 of their last 47 games (+13.18 Units / 25% ROI)
● The Denver Nuggets have covered the Game Total Over in 34 of their last 54 games (+12.00 Units / 20% ROI)
● The Denver Nuggets have covered the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 27 games (+7.23 Units / 23% ROI)
Negative Value Trends Against the Spread for the Nuggets, Ranked by Units Lost:
● The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 2H Moneyline in 18 of their last 53 games (-30.51 Units / -38% ROI)
● The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 1H Game Total Under in 19 of their last 60 games (-23.76 Units / -36% ROI)
● The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 2Q Game Total Under in 23 of their last 66 games (-21.18 Units / -29% ROI)
● The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 3Q Spread in 19 of their last 54 games (-18.39 Units / -31% ROI)
● The Denver Nuggets have only covered the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 54 games (-17.40 Units / -29% ROI)
Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets
The Warriors are 15-6 (.714) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .468
The Warriors were 36-8 (.818) when scoring 110 or more points last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .677
The Warriors are 12-5 (.706) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .514
The Warriors are 17-5 (.773) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .492
Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors
The Nuggets were 7-3 (.700) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .503
The Nuggets are 43-18 (.705) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .556
The Nuggets are 34-11 (.756) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .542
The Nuggets are 14-5 (.737) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .570
Injury Report: Nuggets vs. Warriors - Thursday’s Game, Mar. 10
● Jeff Green (Nuggets): Green is listed as OUT for Wednesday’s (Mar. 9) game.
● Will Barton (Nuggets): Barton is OUT for Wednesday’s (Mar. 9) game against Sacramento.
● Vlatko Cancar (Nuggets): The Nuggets announced that Cancar had surgery on his foot and will be re-evaluated in 12 weeks.
● Zeke Nnaji (Nuggets): Nnaji is probable for Wednesday’s (Mar. 9) game against Sacramento.
● Michael Porter Jr. (Nuggets): Porter Jr. has been cleared for on-court contact and is hoping to return sometime in March, according to Adrian Wojnarowski of ESPN.
● Jamal Murray (Nuggets): Murray is recovering from a torn ACL and no timetable has been announced for his return.
● Bones Hyland (Nuggets): Hyland is OUT for Wednesday’s (Mar. 9) game against Sacramento.
● Gary Payton II (Warriors): Payton II did not play in Tuesday’s (Mar. 8) game against the Clippers.
● Andre Iguodala (Warriors): Iguodala has not played since Feb. 7 and no timetable has been announced for his return.
● Otto Porter Jr. (Warriors): Porter Jr. did not play in Tuesday’s (Mar. 8) game against the Clippers.
● Draymond Green (Warriors): Green said he’s hoping to return within 3-4 weeks.
● James Wiseman (Warriors): The Warriors announced that Wiseman has been cleared to participate in full team practices, but a timetable for his return to game action has not been determined.
Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors averaged 7.8 offensive rebounds per game (561 rebounds/72 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 9.8
The Warriors have averaged 15.0 turnovers per game (661 turnovers/44 games) this season — 2nd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.2
The Warriors have made 14.3 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3
The Warriors have averaged 13.5 assists per game (592 assists/44 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 11.5
Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets have averaged 14.7 assists per game (633 assists/43 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.4
The Nuggets have 18.0 free throw attempts per game this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 20.8
The Nuggets have averaged 8.7 offensive rebounds per game (376 rebounds/43 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 10.3
The Nuggets are shooting 50% (2,609/5,184) in the first half since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%
Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors have averaged 9.5 steals per game (420 steals/44 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6
The Warriors have averaged 36.4 defensive rebounds per game (1,603 rebounds/44 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.3
The Warriors have 1,001 steals since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd most among NBA teams
The Warriors have averaged 8.8 steals per game (513 steals/58 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6
Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (164 blocks/43 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8
The Nuggets have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (249 blocks/59 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8
The Nuggets stole the ball 582 times last season — 7th most among NBA teams
The Nuggets have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (487 blocks/115 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
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